Date:
March 14, 2019
Source:
University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science
A
new model has been created that can forecast the location of Eastern Pacific
leatherback turtles along the coast of Central and South America in an effort
to decrease bycatch mortality of this critically endangered and ecologically
important species.
Scientists
from University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science have developed a
unique model in collaboration with Dr. George Shillinger at the nonprofit
Upwell Turtles that can predict on a monthly basis where Eastern Pacific
leatherbacks are most likely to be residing.
"Upwell
was created to address an unmet need in sea turtle conservation: protecting
turtles in the ocean, where they spend most of their lives. By engaging new
consistencies and improving access to predictive tools, like the South Pacific
Turtle Watch, we can reduce the threats turtles face at sea from fisheries
interactions," said Upwell Executive Director Dr. George Shillinger.
A
website called South Pacific Turtle Watch will be launched in coordination with
this study as an online resource to educate the public on the importance of
protecting leatherback turtles and to allow public access to the models
predicting Eastern Pacific leatherbacks' location.
By
providing countries connected to this species with this information, scientists
hope for a decrease in the accidental capture of Eastern Pacific leatherback
turtles by fisheries, a threat that is partially responsible for the species'
98 percent decline since the 1980s.
"A
lot of managers and government agencies in Central and South America have been
asking for something. They know leatherback populations are declining, they
know fisheries have a role in it, so they have been thirsty for some
information about what they can do so leatherbacks don't disappear," said
study author Aimee Hoover of the University of Maryland Center for
Environmental Science.
The
decline in this leatherback turtle population is not all to blame on fisheries,
but the purpose of this study was to produce data to inform potential
management strategies to help both turtles and fishermen.
"Fishers
aren't targeting leatherbacks and other marine turtle species," said
Shillinger. "Incidental capture of turtles consumes time, damages
equipment, and attracts unwanted negative attention. The South Pacific Turtle Watch
tool will enable fishers to take proactive measures to reduce their bycatch,
potentially reducing the risk of fisheries-turtle interactions within high-use
turtle habitats.”
Leatherback
turtles, which can live over 45 years, grow up to 2000 pounds, and reach
lengths over 9 feet, prey exclusively upon gelatinous zooplankton. As such,
leatherbacks play an important role as a keystone species in controlling
jellyfish populations, which may be increasing as a result of changing climatic
conditions and food web alterations from fisheries pressures. Jellyfish are not
only important for the diet of these turtles but can damage fishermen's nets
and boats if they are caught in high numbers. It is estimated that less than
1,000 adult females of the species remain.
This
study is the first segment of a two-part project hoping to improve leatherback
turtle management strategies. This portion focused on modeling turtle residence
time -- how long the individual stays in one location -- through satellite
telemetry. Researchers are currently working on a complementary paper that will
predict leatherbacks' location through observer data collected from trained
observers and volunteers on fishing vessels that encounter this critically
endangered species.
Satellite
telemetry technology allows for measurements and data to be collected remotely,
which allows these free-moving creatures to be tracked from a distance for
years once they are tagged with satellite transmitters. Turtles tagged in Costa
Rica, Mexico and Peru were tracked for up to two years during a period spanning
over two decades. In total, tracks from 45 different leatherbacks were used in
the final analyses of this study.
The
model predicts the seasonal route of leatherbacks, who migrate south from their
nesting beaches into the South Pacific Gyre and then travel north to warmer
temperatures near the equator during the winter, forming a circular pattern.
Leatherback turtles are predicted to either travel down along the coast of
Central America or travel out to the Pacific Ocean and south.
This
statistically advanced model confirms previous tracks that have been developed
and allows monthly models to be predicted based on current environmental
conditions of leatherbacks' habitat, such as temperature, upwelling and sea
surface height. Upwelling is of particular interest to turtles as it refers to
the process of nutrient rich waters being brought to the surface that leads to
increased abundance of prey, like gelatinous zooplankton.
"To
our knowledge we're paving the way by incorporating dynamic environmental
variables," commented Hoover. "Every month we're looking at a
different temperature and environment over time to help model our predictions
based on the changing environment this animal is experiencing."
Story
Source:
Materials provided
by University of Maryland Center for
Environmental Science. Note: Content may be edited for style and
length.
Journal
Reference:
Aimee
L. Hoover, Dong Liang, Joanna Alfaro-Shigueto, Jeffrey C. Mangel, Peter I.
Miller, Stephen J. Morreale, Helen Bailey, George L. Shillinger. Predicting
residence time using a continuous-time discrete-space model of leatherback
turtle satellite telemetry data. Ecosphere, 2019; 10 (3): e02644 DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.2644
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