by Anita Rita Patricia, The
Conversation US, 1/17/18
Credit: Alaina
McDavid Flickr (CC BY-SA 2.0)
The following essay is reprinted
with permission from The
Conversation, an online publication covering the latest research.
In the northern part of
Australia’s Great Barrier Reef, the future for green sea turtles appears to be
turning female.
A recent study has
revealed that climate change is rapidly leading to the feminisation of green
turtles in one of the world’s largest populations. Only about 1% of these
juvenile turtles are hatching male.
Among sea turtles, incubation
temperatures above 29ºC produce more female offspring. When incubation
temperatures approach 33ºC, 100% of the offspring are female. Cooler
temperatures yield more males, up to 100% near a lower thermal limit of 23ºC.
And if eggs incubate at temperatures outside the range of 23-33ºC the risk of
embryo malformation and mortality becomes very high.
As current climate change models
foresee increases in average global temperature of 2 to 3ºC by 2100, the future for these
turtles is in danger. Worryingly, warmer temperatures will also lead to ocean
expansion and sea-level rise, increasing the risk of flooding of nesting
habitats.
HOW SCIENTISTS ARE TACKLING THE
PROBLEM
Green sea turtles’ sensitivity to
incubation temperatures is such that even a few degrees can dramatically change
the sex ratio of hatchlings.
Sea turtles are particularly
vulnerable because they have temperature-dependent sex determination, or TSD,
meaning that the sex of the offspring depends on the incubation temperature of
the eggs. This is the same mechanism that determines the sex of several other
reptile species, such as the crocodilians, many lizards and freshwater turtles.
Scientists and conservationists
are well aware of how future temperatures may threaten these species. For the
past two decades they have been investigating the incubation conditions and
resulting sex ratios at several sea turtle nesting beaches worldwide.
This is mostly done using
temperature recording devices (roughly the size of an egg). These are placed
inside nest chambers among the clutch of eggs, or buried in the sand at the
same depth as the eggs. When a clutch hatches (after 50 to 60 days) the device
is recovered and the temperatures recorded are analysed.
Research has revealed that most
nesting beaches studied to date have sand temperatures that favour female
hatchling production. But this female bias is not immediately a bad
thing, because male sea turtles can mate with several females (polygyny). So
having more females actually enhances the reproductive potential of a
population (i.e. more females equals more eggs).
But given that climate change
will likely soon increase this female bias, important questions arise. How much
of a female bias is OK? Will there be enough males? What is the minimum
proportion of males to keep a sustainable population?
These questions are being
investigated. But, in the meantime, alarming reports of populations with more
than 99%
of hatchlings being female stress the urgency of science-based
management strategies. These strategies must be designed to promote (or
maintain) cooler incubation temperatures at key nesting beaches to prevent
population decline or even extinction.
THE CHALLENGE OF REVERSING
FEMINISATION
There are two general approaches
to the problem:
1 mitigate impacts at the most
endangered nesting beaches
2 identify and protect sites that
naturally produce higher
proportions of males.
Several studies emphasise that
the natural shading native vegetation provides is essential to maintain cooler
incubation temperatures. Thus, a key conservation action is to protect beach
vegetation, or reforest nesting beaches.
Coastal vegetation also protects
the nesting beach against wave erosion during storms, which will worsen under
climate change. This strategy further requires coastal development to allow for
buffer zones. Construction setback regulations should be enforced or
implemented.
When natural shading is not an
option, clutches of eggs can be moved either to more suitable beaches, or to
hatcheries with artificial shading. Researchers have tested the use of synthetic
shade cloth and found it is effective in
reducing sand and nest temperatures.
Other potential strategies
involve adding light-coloured sand on top of nests. This can help by absorbing
less solar radiation (heat) compared to
darker sand. Beach sprinklers have also been tested to simulate the cooling
effect of rainfall.
The effectiveness of these
actions has yet to be fully tested, but there is concern about some potential
negative side effects. For example, excess water from sprinklers may cause
fungal infections on eggs.
Finally, as much as mitigation
measures are important, these are always short-term solutions. In the long run,
prevention is always the best strategy, i.e. protecting the nesting beaches
that currently produce more males from deforestation, development and habitat
degradation.
Our recent research on the
largest green turtle population in Africa reports unusually high male hatchling
production. We found almost balanced hatchling
sex ratios (1 female to 1.2 males). We attributed this mostly to the
cooling effect of the native forest.
This, and similar nesting
beaches, should be designated as priority conservation sites, as they will be
key to ensuring the future of sea turtles under projected global warming
scenarios.
Sea turtles are resilient
creatures. They have been around for over 200 million years, surviving the mass
extinction that included the dinosaurs, and enduring dramatic climatic changes
in the past.
There is potential for these
creatures to adapt, as they did before. This could be through, for example,
shifting the timing of nesting to cooler periods, changing their distribution
to more suitable habitats, or evolution of critical incubation temperatures
that produce males.
But the climate today is changing
at an unprecedented rate. Along with the feminisation of these turtles in the
northern Great Barrier Reef, sea turtles globally face many threats from
humans. These include problems associated with by-catch, poaching, habitat
degradation and coastal development, plus a history of intense human
exploitation.
In 2018, the prevalence of these
species depends now more than ever on the effectiveness of conservation
measures.
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